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HFX enables secure interplanetary trading despite extreme delays, using local asset locks, one-time settlement, safe retries, and Ceres-based clearing to make solar-system markets reliable.
COURTSIDE: on Polymarket tennis, only traders who act within 3 seconds of a point win. We call points before the ball lands with computer vision and price every second of speed and rotation.
Covered calls after exec-pay 8-Ks earned +3.8% (2024–25) and +6.4% (2026), beat ordinary days by ~2 pts at expiry, and showed a net edge of ~0.3% per trade.
Hardware Track
Driftmaxxing trades stocks when the post-earnings move is bigger than what options had priced in, testing whether that surprise keeps drifting afterward.
We present a highly optimized FPGA board able to receive price information in a 16 bit channel, split each price into two 8 bit channels, then recombine and output a 16 bit list.
Index funds must buy Treasuries at month-end, whatever the price. We hold TLT for those 3 days and sell at the close. In-sample Sharpe 0.78. The out-of-sample two years scored −0.26.
A pre-registered test of whether gating a month-end 60/40 rebalancing trade in ES/ZN futures on how much of the move already happened beats always trading.
The top 0.1% of gamblers account for over 25% of casino gambling revenue. By tracking flights in major gambling hubs, one can predict next quarters casino revenue and thus stock price.
A hardware trading-signal engine on a Tang Nano 20K FPGA: it tracks 16-price moving averages for two assets and fires BUY/SELL signals over UART, entirely in logic.
A stock exchange for traders 4 light-hours apart. Relays the Sun can't block, deadlines set by the speed of light, money that moves exactly once, and an app to watch a Neptune trade settle.
A federated interplanetary exchange that keeps assets safe and fully funded despite hours-long, lossy communication delays.
By Antonella Contreras, Ryan Baiano, Ashray Sayini, Sebastian Luscher
Trade shares, move money, and hedge future prices across nine planets. Avoids spending the same money twice when messages take hours and the Sun gets in the way.
Iron Triangle: an interplanetary exchange with 2-of-3 quorum commits, local locks, and rotating Earth/Mercury/Venus initiators. Trades stay safe through blackouts and solar conjunctions.
MPEX is a solar-system market built for hours of communication delay, combining orbital-aware routing, fair auctions, Ceres clearing, secure settlement, and fault tolerance.
Full-range FPGA trade signals in 243 Total Logic, with hash-bound source and repeatable verification on a Tang Nano 20K.
Bond index funds buy Treasuries every month-end. We found them in the CFTC data and trade ahead of them.
Kalshi prices football in the same second as polymarket.com and is priced right after fees. So we turned maker: a pre-registered passive maker strategy, now running live on paper.
We taught AI to read the Fed without peeking at the future: every speech, every press conference, even Powell's eyebrows, turned into trades on bonds and the dollar.
An FPGA trading engine that reads two item prices over UART and sends back BUY or SELL signals using a moving-average crossover, built in 214 logic cells on a Tang Nano 20K.
MASSIVE ALPHA
Testing covered calls around 8-K merger and acquisition agreement filings using Massive data, realistic costs, and a one-time out-of-sample evaluation.
Buy night, sell morning
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